Tuesday, September 15, 2020
Home Gaming What is a Realistic Sales Figure for Project Scorpio?

What is a Realistic Sales Figure for Project Scorpio?

Everyone has been buzzing about Microsoft’s Project Scorpio console this week. While there is still so much about the console we don’t know, Scorpio’s recently revealed do at least tell us that Microsoft is preparing to unleash a console of unprecedented power upon the gaming world.

Even those who aren’t necessarily thinking about buying Scorpio can’t help but be curious about it. What kind of visuals can this console produce? Will Scorpio represent the moment that gaming went fully 4K? It is going to forever change the expected power level of consoles?

Of course, at some point, the real question does become,”How many people are actually planning on buying Scorpio?”

That’s a fascinating question that is a little difficult to accurately answer at the moment due to the simple fact that we don’t know Scorpio’s price. If Scorpio is an incredibly expensive console, that might severely impact its chances on the market. If it’s a surprisingly affordable console, Microsoft could move a few extra million units based on the sheer value of the device alone.

Honestly, though, both of those extremes seem unrealistic. We know that Scorpio is intended to appeal to enthusiasts, but even enthusiasts are going to balk at a console that costs more than $499 unless it has something to offer that we can’t even comprehend.

Assuming Scorpio does fall into that price range, how many units can Microsoft realistically expect to sell? To answer that, you need to understand the history of powerful consoles.

Historically speaking, power does not immediately equal sales success. The Wii was the weakest console of its generation by some degree, and it outsold the competition by millions of units. The Sega Saturn was way more powerful than the PlayStation, and it didn’t come close to matching the PlayStation’s sales figures.

You can’t really compare Scorpio to those consoles, however. They were new generation systems and Scorpio is a current generation upgrade. That hasn’t been a popular technique since the ’90s, and Scorpio will surely be more successful than a flop like the Sega CD which sold just over 2 million units.

Actually, the only console that you can fairly compare to Scorpio is the PlayStation 4 Pro. So how is the PlayStation 4 Pro doing? It’s difficult to tell.

Sony hasn’t revealed the Pro’s exact sales figures – which isn’t a great sign – but we do know that over 6 million PlayStation 4s have been sold since the Pro was released. It’s believed that the Pro is responsible for around 2 to 2.5 million of those sales.

So can Microsoft expect similar success? It’s highly unlikely. It’s almost a guarantee that Scorpio will be more expensive than Pro, which is a disadvantage no matter how you spin it. More importantly, though, it’s just not realistic to expect Scorpio to outsell PS4 Pro when the PS4 is outselling the Xbox One almost 2-1. Since there are no exclusive Scorpio games, the majority of consumers will already own an Xbox One.

All that being said, it’s entirely possibly that it could take months for Scorpio to even sell 1 million units. At launch, the sales number could be as low as a couple hundred thousand.

You have to believe that Microsoft has something up their sleeve, but if these numbers hold true, then you have to wonder how many more “enthusiast” consoles we’ll see.

Matthew Byrdhttps://hd-report.com
Matthew Byrd covers the gaming industry including indies, consoles, PCs, iOS and Android apps, as well as topics related to entertainment and technology. He also writes for IndieGameSource and DenOfGeek, and has his own blog at PixelCritique.com.


  1. Quite obvious Scorpio isn’t going to be aiming for mass sales in its first year and Microsoft knows this. Their plan is to sell the console at a “premium” price but they know hardcore fans will purchase it no matter what the cost. It also helps them during the first year as they know it takes time to ramp up mass scale production. So for the first year it’ll be small scale just to get through the teething problems and give more time for developers to adjust for new games. This will be just fine for Microsoft so they will price the Scorpio in the $599-$699 price tag.

    Remember: Even Spencer mention the Scorpio is a premium console that will command a premium price point. Nobody really cried foul when the XBone Elite controller was released at three times the price of a regular controller. This was an example of a premium product with a premium price and sheep ate it up.

    • Interestingly, the Saturn was more powerful than the PlayStation from a hardware perspective. However, it was incredibly difficult to develop for.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

4k TV Deals

Sony X1 4k HDR TV

Hot Pre-orders!

Game of Thrones: The Complete Series 4k Blu-ray
Back to the Future 35th Anniversary 4k Blu-ray giftset
Mission: Impossible - The Original TV Series Blu-ray
Stanley Kubrick 3-Film Collection  4k Blu-ray

1-Month Free!

Hot Blu-rays!

New Articles

Deal Alert: Columbia Classics 6-Film 4k Blu-ray Collection Price Drop

The Columbia Classics 17-disc collection is now the lowest price we've ever seen it at only $100.85 (list price of $164.99). That's a savings...

New Giveaway! Stephen King 5-Movie Collection on Blu-ray!

This week's giveaway is the Stephen King 5-Movie Collection on Blu-ray Disc! (Retail Value $36.99) The collection includes The Dead Zone (1983), Stephen King’s Silver...

CBS All Access will be rebranded as Paramount+

Officially announced today, ViacomCBS will change the name of CBS All Access to Paramount+. The new brand will launch early 2021 with content from...

Take 20% Off the Panasonic DP-UB820 4k Blu-ray Player

Want to step up your home theater experience? The Panasonic (DP-UB820) 4k Blu-ray player is on sale for just $397.99 at Amazon. That's a $102 (20%)...

Support Us!